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Quarterly Country Forecast Reports 2003 - Chile

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Table of Contents

Journal
Published: 4 issues per annum
Pages: For full details, please email keithw@cmsinfo.com
Tables: For full details, please email keithw@cmsinfo.com
From: USD 630.00  Buy Now!
Research from: Press Release
Sector: Regional Markets

As companies in Chile formulate their budgets and business strategies to promote growth and profitability in tough times, our team of Latin America economists and risk analysts at Business Monitor International have just completed work on the Chile Forecast Report - involving a full investigation of Chile's economy and business environment, and available for release as of August 2003.

Relied upon by many leading multinational companies, financial institutions and governments, the Chile Forecast Report provides an indispensable benchmark for Chile’s prospects over the next three years, set against government and consensus views. The Report examines political and social risks posed to the business operating environment and the continuity of economic policy-making, and presents BMI's 3-year central forecast for real GDP growth, industrial growth, employment, inflation and consumption. The Report also analyses recent trends in fiscal, exchange and monetary policy, the balance of payments, foreign direct investment and debt, and assesses the performance and prospects for leading industry sectors.

The Chile Forecast Report will help you with your strategic planning and decision-making, enabling you to:

Identify key short- and long-term risks in the areas of political stability, economic performance and outlook, financial volatility and changes in the business environment

Gain in-depth insights into Chilean government and society, provided by our analysts and their international network of government and private sector sources

Benchmark public and private sector expectations of Chile’s economy and business environment against BMI’s independent forecasts and risk ratings through end-2005, covering 30 headline indicators, including GDP growth, inflation, interest and forex rates, trade, investment, debt and major global factors

Target strategic business opportunities, and guard against pitfalls, in Chile’s main industry sectors, including agriculture, oil, energy and mining, manufacturing and its subsectors, utilities, construction, financial services and tourism

BMI’s Chile Risk Ratings are presented in a series of tables and charts with bullet-point analyses, covering the following key areas:
short and long-term political stability
short and long-term economic performance and outlook
the business operating and investment climate for Chile

BMI’s Americas Ratings League Tables will help you to benchmark Chile against other American countries’ performance by business environment rating, long and short-term political rating and long and short-term economic rating. The tables immediately indicate Chile’s performance compared to other American neighbours and illustrate trend analysis.

Political stability: The Chile Forecast Report assesses all key factors impacting on political stability over the 3-year forecast period.

Current administration: BMI profiles key policy-makers and power-brokers in the government, assessing the prospects for, and threats to, continuity in government economic policy and the business environment over the next three years.

Foreign relations: BMI analyses international trade, investment and lending driving government foreign relations and policy, and examines individual relations with American neighbours, Japan, the United States and Europe.

The Chile Forecast Report comprises latest- available economic data, estimates and forecasts brought together in 60 tables, graphs and charts, with value added independent commentary and analysis from BMI’s team of American specialists.

Economic Activity: BMI reviews government and independent forecasts for Chile, supported by detailed breakdowns, analysis and BMI forecasts through end-2005 for these key macroeconomic indicators, including historic data series over 1994-2002:
GDP – real GDP growth
Industrial growth – productivity sector analysis
Employment – growth, trends, regional / urban / rural disparities
Inflation – consumer price
Consumption – indicative wages, retail sales, consumer confidence

Fiscal Policy:
Current macroeconomic strategy and implementation policies
Government finance – revenue, expenditure, budget balance
Tax reforms

Exchange Rate Policy:
Currency controls
Influence of foreign direct investment inflows
Exchange rates and foreign exchange reserves

Monetary Policy:
Interest rate trends – bank lending and deposit rates
Inflation – retail price inflation, consumer price inflation

Balance of Payments:
Merchandise trade - exports, imports, trade balance
Current account balance

Foreign Direct Investment:
Foreign Direct Investment approvals and inflows
Business operating environment

External Debt:
Debt profile: short term and long term debt

BMI analysis and forecasts for all major industry sectors: industry analysis by structure and size; recent performance; government policy toward regulation, privatisation, foreign participation, profit remittance, labour and IP rights; recent and pending changes in the business environment; major players, both state-owned companies and multinational participants; plus sector-by-sector forecasts covering output, consumption, revenues, foreign trade and investment.

Industry sectors covered: Agriculture; Banking and financial services; Construction and property; Manufacturing and all its sub-sectors; Oil, energy and mining; Telecoms, media and technology; Tourism; Transport and Utilities.

BMI’s central forecast scenario for the global economy: BMI presents its 3-year forecast through end-2005 for the global economy, focusing on GDP growth, inflation, unemployment, trade, interest rates, exchange rates and commodity prices in the USA, Japan, and Euro-zone.

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